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St. Paul › Payne – Phalen

1070 Bradley St

Saint Paul, MN · Payne – Phalen (Railroad Island) · Listing office ↗ · Find the listing ↗

Far off
Asking price
$499,000
3 units · $166K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$1,118
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,750/mo
rough estimate
Break-even price
$288,997
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust these numbers in the calculator See the full breakdown

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer
Management
Interest rate %

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

Estimated rent per unit Estimate

  • 2 bed / 1.5 bath (est.)$1,350 $1,150–$1,550
  • 2 bed / 1.5 bath (est.)$1,350 $1,150–$1,550
  • 1 bed / 1.5 bath (est.)$1,050 $900–$1,200

Rough screening estimate from bedroom count only ($750 + $300 per bedroom, ±15%). Not comparable-rental data; a RentCast estimate replaces it for the top candidates. Confidence: low.

Rent rules: Capped at 3%/yr for sitting tenants.

Price
$499,000
Monthly cash flow
−$1,118
Cash to close
$114,770
Cap rate
3.7%
Cash-on-cash
−11.7%
DSCR
0.58×
GRM
11.1
Price per unit
$166,333
Price that breaks even
$288,997
Rent that breaks even
$5,202/mo
Cash flow turns positive
year 23
Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.17M vs $1.64M

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,750
Vacancy (6%)−$225
Collected$3,525
Property tax Public record−$714
Insurance Estimate−$320
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$255
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$300
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$338
Net operating income$1,538
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,656
Cash flow−$1,118
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$338

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.17M, stocks $1.64M. Stocks win.

How those totals add up

Year 30
If you buy this building
Sale priceValue grows 3% a year from the price$1,211,204
Minus 6% selling cost−$72,672
Minus loan still owedTenants' rent paid down all $399,200 of principal by year 30$0
Plus rental profits, invested at 7%$23,018 of profit by year 30, before investment growth$26,487
What you'd walk away with$1,165,019
If you put the same money in stocks
Cash to close ($114,770) invested at 7%$873,659
Monthly shortfalls ($166,525 total by yr 30) investedThe money you'd have put into the building while it lost money$768,661
What you'd walk away with$1,642,320
Building minus stocks−$477,301

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • medium$3,306 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 292922240021: special assessments (payable 2026) = $3,305.80
  • mediumAsking is $210,003 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($288,997) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $499,000 vs. break-even $288,997

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 92 days on market

Questions for the agent

  • Can we see the current leases and a rent roll, with move-in dates?
  • What did water/sewer/trash, heat and electric cost the owner over the last 12 months?
  • How old are the roof, boiler or furnaces, water heaters and electrical panels?
  • Is the building licensed as a rental for this many units, and when was the last city inspection?
  • Any special assessments pending, and will the seller pay them off at closing?

Standard questions worth asking about any building.

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordRamsey County record, payable 2026 (non-homestead)$8,572
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$3,840
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$255
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1916: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

County record Public record

Recorded asthree family dwelling, platted lot
Living units3
Year built1916
Market value (2026)$401,700
Property tax, payable 2026$8,572
Special assessments$3,306
Homesteadno
Last sale2021-11-17 · $365,000

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

Residential 3+ Units: 3 unit(s), A, status renewal due, renews 2024-01-08.

Nearest highway

I 35E;US 10, about 805 m away.

Crime in Payne – Phalen

1,694 incidents in the last 12 months (51 per 1,000 residents), −10% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.

Status history