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1038 W 3rd Ave

Grand Marais, MN · View the listing ↗

Far off

Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$489,000
2 units · $244K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$1,664
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$2,200/mo
low confidence · region-wide median
Break-even price
$176,353
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$489,000
Cash to close
$112,470
Price per unit
$244,500
GRM
18.5

Each month

Cash flow
−$1,664/mo
Cash-on-cash
−17.8%
Cap rate
2.3%
DSCR
0.36×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$176,353
Rent that breaks even
$4,333/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.12M vs $2.42M
Cash flow turns positive
not within 30 years

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$2,200
Vacancy (6%)−$132
Collected$2,068
Property tax Listing−$358
Insurance Estimate−$189
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$176
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$176
Net operating income$939
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,603
Cash flow−$1,664
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$331

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

Year 30
If you buy this building
Sale priceValue grows 3% a year from the price$1,186,931
Minus 6% selling cost−$71,216
Minus loan still owedTenants' rent paid down all $391,200 of principal by year 30$0
Plus rental profits, invested at 7%$0 of profit by year 30, before investment growth$0
What you'd walk away with$1,115,715
If you put the same money in stocks
Cash to close ($112,470) invested at 7%$856,150
Monthly shortfalls ($438,848 total by yr 30) investedThe money you'd have put into the building while it lost money$1,561,754
What you'd walk away with$2,417,904
Building minus stocks−$1,302,189

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.12M, stocks $2.42M. Stocks win.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-04. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

2 bed estimate $1,200/mo · range $975–$1,400 · 465 rentals across Greater Minnesota

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
11 Alta Miikana Rd Unit 12D, Lutsen $1,639 2 / 1 864 18.1 mi 2026-10-02 Apartment
410 W 3rd Ave N, Aurora $970 2 / 1 840 90.3 mi — Apartment
4428 E Superior St, Duluth $1,200 2 / 1 1,841 102.5 mi 2026-09-02 Apartment
3780 London Rd, Duluth $2,090 2 / 2 1,100 103.2 mi 2025-04-10 Apartment
110 Anderson Dr # 44, Virginia $1,065 2 / 1 850 103.3 mi — Apartment
206 S 4th Ave E Unit 104, Virginia $995 2 / 1 — 103.7 mi — Apartment
201 N 5th Ave, Virginia $958 2 / 1 — 103.8 mi 2026-02-01 Apartment
707 S 5th Ave Apt 3, Virginia $995 2 / 1 — 103.9 mi 2026-04-08 Apartment
4835 Howard Gnesen Rd Apt 305, Duluth $1,400 2 / 1 850 103.9 mi 2026-06-01 Apartment
320 S 19th Ave E Apt B, Duluth $1,075 2 / 1 — 104.9 mi 2026-09-21 Apartment

1 bed estimate $1,000/mo · range $850–$1,300 · 357 rentals across Greater Minnesota

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
861 5th Ave W, Grand Marais $1,950 1 / 1 598 0.3 mi 2025-05-14 Apartment
1501 W Highway 61, Grand Marais $1,850 1 / 1 — 1.1 mi 2026-09-16 Apartment
900 Dorchester Dr, Hoyt Lakes $725 1 / 1 665 85.5 mi 2024-04-15 Apartment
3780 London Rd, Duluth $1,615 1 / 1 750 103.2 mi 2025-04-10 Apartment
25 W Redwing St Apt 18, Duluth $1,125 1 / 1 513 103.3 mi — Apartment
406 S 4th Ave W Apt 204, Virginia $940 1 / 1 368 103.8 mi 2026-09-17 Apartment
201 N 5th Ave, Virginia $882 1 / 1 — 103.8 mi 2026-02-01 Apartment
604 7th St S Unit 2, Virginia $850 1 / 1 — 104.0 mi — Apartment
606 7th St S Unit 2, Virginia $880 1 / 1 — 104.0 mi — Apartment
100 N Van Buren Ave, Eveleth $1,050 1 / 1 675 104.0 mi — Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumCouldn't match this address to a county parcel record, so taxes and unit count are unverified. Public record: County parcels: no match for 1038 3RD AVE W
  • mediumAsking is $312,647 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($176,353) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $489,000 vs. break-even $176,353

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 120 days on market

Questions for the agent

  • Can we see the current leases and a rent roll, with move-in dates?
  • What did water/sewer/trash, heat and electric cost the owner over the last 12 months?
  • How old are the roof, boiler or furnaces, water heaters and electrical panels?
  • Is the building licensed as a rental for this many units, and when was the last city inspection?
  • Any special assessments pending, and will the seller pay them off at closing?

Standard questions worth asking about any building.

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Listinglisting, tax year 2026. The tax the listing states. If the seller lives there it may be at the lower homestead rate; an investor owner pays the non-homestead rate, often 20–40% more on the owner's unit.$4,296
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,272
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. base rate8% / 8%

Status history

  • New at $489,000

From the listing Listing

Listed asduplex
Property tax, 2026$4,296
CountyCook County
Parcel number80-060-09=0609

As the listing states it (NorthstarMLS, via Realtor.com). We don't have county records here yet; check the tax, homestead status and special assessments with the county.

Crime, rental-license and vacant-building records are only available for St. Paul and Minneapolis so far. Check with Grand Marais on rental licensing before you buy.