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8015 4th Ave

Lino Lakes, MN · View the listing ↗

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Photos courtesy of Exp Realty - Broker, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$444,900
2 units · $222K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$313
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,900/mo
low confidence · 25 rentals within 9 mi
Break-even price
$386,040
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$444,900
Cash to close
$102,327
Price per unit
$222,450
GRM
9.5

Each month

Cash flow
−$313/mo
Cash-on-cash
−3.7%
Cap rate
5.5%
DSCR
0.87×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$386,040
Rent that breaks even
$4,323/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.53M vs $856K
Cash flow turns positive
year 7

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,900
Vacancy (6%)−$234
Collected$3,666
Property tax Listing−$396
Insurance Estimate−$205
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (10% of rent)−$390
Capital reserve (10% of rent)−$390
Net operating income$2,055
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,368
Cash flow−$313
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$301

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

Year 30
If you buy this building
Sale priceValue grows 3% a year from the price$1,079,889
Minus 6% selling cost−$64,793
Minus loan still owedTenants' rent paid down all $355,920 of principal by year 30$0
Plus rental profits, invested at 7%$292,006 of profit by year 30, before investment growth$512,029
What you'd walk away with$1,527,125
If you put the same money in stocks
Cash to close ($102,327) invested at 7%$778,939
Monthly shortfalls ($11,822 total by yr 30) investedThe money you'd have put into the building while it lost money$76,691
What you'd walk away with$855,631
Building minus stocks$671,494

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.53M, stocks $856K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-04. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

3 bed estimate $1,950/mo · range $1,625–$2,350 · 25 rentals within 9 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
705 Town Center Pkwy, Lino Lakes $1,907 3 / 2 1,255 1.4 mi 2025-04-08 Apartment
33 Village Pkwy, Circle Pines $2,155 3 / 1.5 1,200 4.4 mi 2025-09-22 Apartment
9001 Griggs Ave, Circle Pines $2,300 3 / 2 1,245 4.8 mi 2025-01-04 Apartment
4631 Rosemary Way, Hugo $2,750 3 / 2 1,348 5.8 mi 2025-12-23 Apartment
12373 Oak Park Blvd NE, Blaine $2,189 3 / 2 1,330 5.9 mi 2024-04-12 Apartment
5891 Rice Creek Pkwy, Shoreview $2,665 3 / 2.5 1,393 6.4 mi 2025-02-27 Apartment
9436 Ulysses St NE, Blaine $2,495 3 / 2 1,418 6.8 mi 2024-05-01 Apartment
2109 Hillview Rd Apt 2, Mounds View $1,899 3 / 2 1,400 6.9 mi 2025-12-02 Apartment
15853 Goodview Ave N, Hugo $2,400 3 / 2 1,450 6.9 mi 2025-08-14 Apartment
15891 Goodview Ave N, Hugo $2,400 3 / 2 1,450 6.9 mi 2026-04-10 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumCouldn't match this address to a county parcel record, so taxes and unit count are unverified. Public record: County parcels: no match for 8015 4TH AVE
  • mediumSold as-is: the seller won't fix what the inspection finds. Price that in. Listing says: "project that needs work and is being sold as-is . 3 BRs on same level on each"

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 235 days on market

Questions for the agent

  • Can we see the current leases and a rent roll, with move-in dates?
  • What did water/sewer/trash, heat and electric cost the owner over the last 12 months?
  • How old are the roof, boiler or furnaces, water heaters and electrical panels?
  • Is the building licensed as a rental for this many units, and when was the last city inspection?
  • Any special assessments pending, and will the seller pay them off at closing?

Standard questions worth asking about any building.

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Listinglisting, tax year 2025. The tax the listing states. If the seller lives there it may be at the lower homestead rate; an investor owner pays the non-homestead rate, often 20–40% more on the owner's unit.$4,758
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,458
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. "as-is" in the description: +2 pts each10% / 10%

Status history

  • New at $444,900

From the listing Listing

Listed asduplex side x side
Property tax, 2025$4,758
CountyAnoka
Parcel number063122440009

As the listing states it (NorthstarMLS, via Realtor.com). We don't have county records here yet; check the tax, homestead status and special assessments with the county.

Crime, rental-license and vacant-building records are only available for St. Paul and Minneapolis so far. Check with Lino Lakes on rental licensing before you buy.